España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Bailo: PSOE would keep its majority

Bailo (Huesca, 273 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 53.4%) Majority 75%
EXISTE+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 5%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.4% → 51.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EXISTELocal lists 34.7% → 37.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 11.9% → 11.4% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 193 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bailo in size, in Huesca

Every municipality in Huesca → · All of Spain →