Aínsa-Sobrarbe: PSOE would keep its majority
Aínsa-Sobrarbe (Huesca, 2,315 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 86%PSOE majority
- 1,110valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 49.1% of the vote (2023: 53.3%)
Majority 86%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.7% of the vote (2023: 25.5%)
Majority 0%
CHA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 12.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 3.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.3% → 49.1% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 25.5% → 24.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- CHALocal lists 12.2% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.0% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARLocal lists 4.8% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,110 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.