Arroyomolinos de León: no list would have a majority, AHORA INDEPENDIENTES largest
Arroyomolinos de León (Huelva, 951 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 649valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arroyomolinos de León
Arroyomolinos de León is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 951 inhabitants, the 55th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AHORA INDEPENDIENTES came first with 31.9% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE-A was second with 2. 78% of the 832 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AHORA INDEPENDIENTES would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 31.9% → 35.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.6% → 29.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- SOMOS PUEBLOLocal lists 23.3% → 25.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.9% → 7.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 649 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.