España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Jun: PP would keep its majority

Jun (Granada, 3,991 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 50.4%) Majority 77%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.4% → 49.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 32.8% → 29.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.2% → 15.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,886 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jun in size, in Granada

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