Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Beas de Guadix: PSOE-A would win a majority

Beas de Guadix (Granada, 319 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 47.9%) Majority 62%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority under 1%
PARA LA GENTE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 47.9% → 48.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.4% → 29.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 24.2% → 22.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 219 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Beas de Guadix in size, in Granada

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