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Caldes de Malavella: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Caldes de Malavella (Girona, 8,196 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 34.4%) Majority 2%
SOM CALDES-AMUNT±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority under 1%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Caldes de Malavella

Caldes de Malavella is a municipality in the province of Girona with 8,196 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 221 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 34.4% of the vote and 5 seats; SOM CALDES-AMUNT was second with 4. 48.8% of the 6,109 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 34.4% → 32.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. SOM CALDES-AMUNTCUP 27.1% → 29.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 17.5% → 23.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 8.4% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.6% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,982 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Caldes de Malavella in size, in Girona

Every municipality in Girona → · All of Spain →