Arbúcies: EA-IDSELVA would keep its majority
Arbúcies (Girona, 6,474 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 73%EA-IDSELVA majority
- 2,261valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EA-IDSELVA−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 50.2% of the vote (2023: 53.7%)
Majority 73%
ERC - AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 27%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EA-IDSELVALocal lists 53.7% → 50.2% 8 → 7 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 37.9% → 43.9% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 2.9% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,261 valid votes including 123 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.