Pasaia: EH BILDU would win a majority
Pasaia (Gipuzkoa, 15,711 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 80%EH BILDU majority
- 6,483valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 39.9%)
Majority 80%
EAJ-PNV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 24.7%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 20.3%)
Majority 0%
PODEMOS-AV−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.1% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 39.9% → 47.6% 8 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 24.7% → 22.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 20.3% → 19.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 4.4% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- EZAN-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,483 valid votes including 119 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.