Ibarra: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Ibarra (Gipuzkoa, 4,143 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 1,714valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 65.3% of the vote (2023: 57.9%)
Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 30.2%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 9.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 57.9% → 65.3% 7 → 8 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 30.2% → 25.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.0% → 6.6% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,714 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.