España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Villanueva de la Jara: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villanueva de la Jara (Cuenca, 2,287 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 44.1%) Majority 36%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 32%
AEPVLJ±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.1% → 45.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 46.5% → 44.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. AEPVLJLocal lists 7.9% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,459 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villanueva de la Jara in size, in Cuenca

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