Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tarancón: PSOE would keep its majority

Tarancón (Cuenca, 15,799 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 50.1% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 82%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
+CU-EV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.3% → 50.1% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 22.3% → 21.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.8% → 17.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. +CU-EVLocal lists 5.4% → 5.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,754 valid votes including 103 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tarancón in size, in Cuenca

Every municipality in Cuenca → · All of Spain →