Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almodóvar del Pinar: PSOE would keep its majority

Almodóvar del Pinar (Cuenca, 386 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 58.0% of the vote (2023: 67.1%) Majority 87%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 13%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 67.1% → 58.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 31.5% → 41.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 298 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almodóvar del Pinar in size, in Cuenca

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