Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Obejo: PP would keep its majority

Obejo (Córdoba, 2,054 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 56.3%) Majority 89%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.3% → 54.9% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 27.9% → 24.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.4% → 19.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,134 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Obejo in size, in Córdoba

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