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Santa Cruz de los Cáñamos: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Santa Cruz de los Cáñamos (Ciudad Real, 513 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 57%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 35.9%) Majority 4%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 49.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.9% → 36.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 12.3% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 398 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Cruz de los Cáñamos in size, in Ciudad Real

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