Saceruela: PSOE would keep its majority
Saceruela (Ciudad Real, 526 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 397valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 65.5% of the vote (2023: 71.3%)
Majority over 99%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 11.6%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 15.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 71.3% → 65.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 11.6% → 18.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 15.6% → 14.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 397 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.