España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Saceruela: PSOE would keep its majority

Saceruela (Ciudad Real, 526 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 65.5% of the vote (2023: 71.3%) Majority over 99%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 15.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 71.3% → 65.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.6% → 18.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.6% → 14.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 397 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Saceruela in size, in Ciudad Real

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