España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Poblete: PSOE would keep its majority

Poblete (Ciudad Real, 2,802 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 51.2% of the vote (2023: 57.7%) Majority 77%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 22.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 57.7% → 51.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 18.5% → 26.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.0% → 20.3% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,367 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Poblete in size, in Ciudad Real

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