España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castellar de Santiago: PSOE would keep its majority

Castellar de Santiago (Ciudad Real, 1,819 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 58.4%) Majority 77%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 58.4% → 51.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 24.2% → 33.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.2% → 14.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,203 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellar de Santiago in size, in Ciudad Real

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