Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Costur: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Costur (Castellón/Castelló, 528 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 4%
TXC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 1%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.9% → 37.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. TXCLocal lists 32.9% → 35.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 25.8% → 25.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 368 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Costur in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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