España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cortes de Arenoso: PP would keep its majority

Cortes de Arenoso (Castellón/Castelló, 293 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 49.3%) Majority 83%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 44.8%) Majority 17%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.3% → 52.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 44.8% → 43.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 4.4% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 203 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cortes de Arenoso in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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