España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Noja: no list would have a majority, P.R.C. largest

Noja (Cantabria, 2,664 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 22%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 38.0%) Majority 11%
OLA CANTABRIA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 66% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 37.4% → 37.9% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.0% → 36.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. OLA CANTABRIALocal lists 11.8% → 12.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 9.2% → 6.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.2% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. ACNLocal lists 1.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,689 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Noja in size, in Cantabria

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