Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabezón de Liébana: PP would keep its majority

Cabezón de Liébana (Cantabria, 574 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 59.2% of the vote (2023: 58.2%) Majority 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%
VXL CADL 2023±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.2% → 59.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 17.1% → 14.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. VXL CADL 2023Local lists 13.1% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. P.R.C.Local lists 9.8% → 10.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 428 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabezón de Liébana in size, in Cantabria

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