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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Cádiz

San Fernando: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

San Fernando (Cádiz, 94,120 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−2
11 councillors (2023: 13) · 42.6% of the vote (2023: 46.0%) Majority 27%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 25.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
UA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 46.0% → 42.6% 13 → 11 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.6% → 25.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.9% → 19.3% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. UALocal lists 6.9% → 7.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. 3RLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CNSLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 39,672 valid votes including 558 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Fernando in size, in Cádiz

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