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Membrío: PSOE would keep its majority

Membrío (Cáceres, 591 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 50.6% of the vote (2023: 53.0%) Majority 89%
UCIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.0% → 50.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UCINLocal lists 27.8% → 30.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.1% → 9.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. J.U.E.X.Local lists 8.2% → 8.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 474 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Membrío in size, in Cáceres

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