España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Madroñera: no list would have a majority, IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS largest

Madroñera (Cáceres, 2,383 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 36.2%) Majority 1%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 28.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 36.2% → 32.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.2% → 28.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 29.8% → 27.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.0% → 10.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,593 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Madroñera in size, in Cáceres

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