España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Jarandilla de la Vera: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Jarandilla de la Vera (Cáceres, 2,860 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.2% of the vote (2023: 52.1%) Majority 35%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 1%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 22.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.1% → 45.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 23.7% → 32.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.4% → 20.3% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,682 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jarandilla de la Vera in size, in Cáceres

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