España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Arroyomolinos: no list would have a majority, LEVANTA largest

Arroyomolinos (Cáceres, 827 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

LEVANTA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 7%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.9% of the vote (2023: 41.4%) Majority 7%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. LEVANTALocal lists 36.3% → 39.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.4% → 38.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.7% → 21.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 659 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arroyomolinos in size, in Cáceres

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