España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Merindad de Montija: PP would keep its majority

Merindad de Montija (Burgos, 733 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 53.2% of the vote (2023: 51.8%) Majority 83%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority under 1%
VB±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.8% → 53.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.5% → 31.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VBLocal lists 11.8% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 442 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Merindad de Montija in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →