Arlanzón: PP would keep its majority
Arlanzón (Burgos, 416 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 56%PP majority
- 294valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 49.0%)
Majority 56%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 34.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 13.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.0% → 46.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.0% → 29.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 13.9% → 21.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 294 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.