Munitibar-Arbatzegi Gerrikaitz: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Munitibar-Arbatzegi Gerrikaitz (Bizkaia, 473 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 237valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 71.5% of the vote (2023: 66.2%)
Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 29.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 66.2% → 71.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 29.5% → 24.3% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 237 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.