Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Maruri-Jatabe: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Maruri-Jatabe (Bizkaia, 1,036 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 61.0%) Majority 91%
EH BILDU+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.9% of the vote (2023: 31.8%) Majority 9%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 61.0% → 57.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 31.8% → 38.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 2.6% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.4% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 611 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Maruri-Jatabe in size, in Bizkaia

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