España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Gamiz-Fika: EH BILDU would win a majority

Gamiz-Fika (Bizkaia, 1,391 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 66%
EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 50.8%) Majority 34%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 43.9% → 52.1% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 50.8% → 46.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 795 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gamiz-Fika in size, in Bizkaia

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