Arratzu: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Arratzu (Bizkaia, 432 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 91%EAJ-PNV majority
- 276valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 63.4%)
Majority 91%
EH BILDU+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 34.4%)
Majority 9%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 63.4% → 57.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 34.4% → 40.7% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 276 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.