España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sant Salvador de Guardiola: CM would keep its majority

Sant Salvador de Guardiola (Barcelona, 3,351 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 55%
SUMEM-AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority 6%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 54.0% → 48.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. SUMEM-AMERC 29.1% → 37.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 14.6% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,408 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Salvador de Guardiola in size, in Barcelona

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