Oristà: FEM-AM would win a majority
Oristà (Barcelona, 573 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 65%FEM-AM majority
- 367valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
FEM-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 43.6%)
Majority 65%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 55.3%)
Majority 35%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- FEM-AMERC 43.6% → 52.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 55.3% → 46.7% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 367 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.