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Caldes d'Estrac: no list would have a majority, GDE largest

Caldes d'Estrac (Barcelona, 3,148 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

GDE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%
PSC - CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 26.1%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. GDELocal lists 26.5% → 27.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSC - CPPSOE 27.9% → 24.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 26.1% → 23.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 17.7% → 22.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,179 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Caldes d'Estrac in size, in Barcelona

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