Oliva de la Frontera: C.I.O. would keep its majority
Oliva de la Frontera (Badajoz, 5,010 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%C.I.O. majority
- 3,451valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
C.I.O.±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 60.8% of the vote (2023: 57.1%)
Majority 99%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 31.2% of the vote (2023: 34.0%)
Majority under 1%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 7.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- C.I.O.Local lists 57.1% → 60.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.0% → 31.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,451 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Oliva de la Frontera in size, in Badajoz
- Alburquerque5,144 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Campanario4,787 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Fregenal de la Sierra4,773 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Talavera la Real5,276 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- San Vicente de Alcántara5,291 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Cabeza del Buey4,682 inhabitants · 11 councillors