España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Amieva: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Amieva (Asturias, 603 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 37.7%) Majority 9%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.7% of the vote (2023: 28.4%) Majority 0%
FORO ASTURIAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.7% → 36.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.4% → 24.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 17.3% → 17.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 10.6% → 17.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 416 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Amieva in size, in Asturias

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