Oria: PP would keep its majority
Oria (Almería, 2,212 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 1,307valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 55.8%)
Majority 97%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 29.2%)
Majority 0%
JUNTOS POR ORIA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.8% → 58.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.2% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- JUNTOS POR ORIALocal lists 12.0% → 13.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,307 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.