Lúcar: CS would keep its majority
Lúcar (Almería, 803 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%CS majority
- 568valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CS±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 66.4% of the vote (2023: 62.5%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 32.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 62.5% → 66.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.2% → 29.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 3.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- I.P.A.L.Local lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 568 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.