España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Carboneras: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Carboneras (Almería, 8,210 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 29%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 38.2%) Majority 5%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 3.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.8% → 42.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.2% → 34.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 8.0% → 8.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.5% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. NVCARLocal lists 5.4% → 5.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,463 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carboneras in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →