Rafal: PSOE would keep its majority
Rafal (Alicante/Alacant, 4,634 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 92%PSOE majority
- 2,348valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 59.3% of the vote (2023: 60.7%)
Majority 92%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 8%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 60.7% → 59.3% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 37.9% → 39.3% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,348 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Rafal in size, in Alicante/Alacant
- Benitachell/el Poble Nou de Benitatxell4,687 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Formentera del Segura4,446 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Agost4,948 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Verger4,986 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Polop5,186 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Los Montesinos5,217 inhabitants · 13 councillors