España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Novelda: PSOE would keep its majority

Novelda (Alicante/Alacant, 25,592 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 57.7%) Majority 96%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 57.7% → 55.6% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.1% → 25.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.8% → 12.9% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 5.7% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. GN-EUPV:ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,485 valid votes including 137 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Novelda in size, in Alicante/Alacant

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