España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

L'Alqueria d'Asnar: PSOE would win a majority

L'Alqueria d'Asnar (Alicante/Alacant, 489 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 48.0%) Majority 59%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.0% → 48.5% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.7% → 27.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 25.4% → 23.3% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 354 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Alqueria d'Asnar in size, in Alicante/Alacant

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