El Ràfol d'Almúnia: PP would win a majority
El Ràfol d'Almúnia (Alicante/Alacant, 731 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 68%PP majority
- 328valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 49.1%)
Majority 68%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 50.0%)
Majority 32%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.1% → 52.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 50.0% → 46.7% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 328 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.