Ontur: PP would win a majority
Ontur (Albacete, 1,934 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 51%PSOE majority
- 1,302valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 48.1%)
Majority 49%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 51.1%)
Majority 51%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.1% → 49.9% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 51.1% → 49.3% 5 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,302 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.