España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Corcubión: B.N.G. would win a majority

Corcubión (A Coruña, 1,670 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.5% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 90%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%
CXM (CANDIDATURA DE XESTIÓN MUNICIPAL)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 39.3% → 51.5% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 24.0% → 17.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.1% → 13.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. CXM (CANDIDATURA DE XESTIÓN MUNICIPAL)Local lists 9.7% → 8.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PACORLocal lists 8.6% → 7.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,076 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Corcubión in size, in A Coruña

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