España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cabanas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cabanas (A Coruña, 3,340 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 5%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 0%
SCV-CC.VV+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.3% → 35.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 19.7% → 28.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 24.3% → 19.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. SCV-CC.VVLocal lists 14.9% → 14.3% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,872 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabanas in size, in A Coruña

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