France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Pyrénées-Atlantiques

Carresse-Cassaber: BIENVENUE ET AVENIR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Carresse-Cassaber (Pyrénées-Atlantiques, INSEE 64168) has 566 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 454 voted, 449 valid votes

  1. BIENVENUE ET AVENIRNo label (small commune) 57.5% · 258 · 13 seats
  2. Carresse-Cassaber: Passé Présent UnionNo label (small commune) 21.8% · 98 · 1 seat
  3. Votre Avenir iciNo label (small commune) 20.7% · 93 · 1 seat

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carresse-Cassaber from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 41.4% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.8% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 13.0% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.6% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.7% · France 2.9%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.3% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 25.2% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.4% · Others 16.5% · France Unbowed 16.3% · Reconquête 5.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pyrénées-Atlantiques

Every commune in Pyrénées-Atlantiques → · All of France →