Essay: ENSEMBLE POUR UN VILLAGE QUI NOUS RESSEMBLE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 201 voted, 156 valid votes

1. ENSEMBLE POUR UN VILLAGE QUI NOUS RESSEMBLENo label (small commune) 100.0% · 156 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Essay from how it voted in 2022.

1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 52.2% · France 34.2%
2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.0% · France 14.3%
3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.1% · France 13.4%
4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.8% · France 7.6%
5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 7.1% · France 16.8%
6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.5% · France 2.9%
8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.0% · France 2.1%
9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%
10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 38.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.5% · France Unbowed 10.2% · Republicans 5.9% · Reconquête 5.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Orne

• Mantilly385 voters · No label (small commune)
• Saint-Symphorien-des-Bruyères385 voters · No label (small commune)
• La Coulonche375 voters · No label (small commune)
• Hauterive374 voters · No label (small commune)
• Carrouges389 voters · No label (small commune)
• La Chapelle-près-Sées371 voters · No label (small commune)
• Berjou370 voters · No label (small commune)
• Saint-Fraimbault394 voters · No label (small commune)

Every commune in Orne → · All of France →