Arsy: Joël Thibault's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Arsy (Oise, INSEE 60024) has 633 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 633registered voters
- 68%turnout, 2026 round one
- 52.2%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round two, 22 March · 480 voted, 478 valid votes
- Tous unis pour ArsyLed by Joël Thibault · No label (small commune) 48.1% · 230 · 12 seats
- Ensemble autrementLed by Brigitte Averty Née Ledoux · No label (small commune) 41.4% · 198 · 3 seats
- ARSY AVEC VOUSLed by Erwan Marino · No label (small commune) 10.5% · 50
Round one, 15 March · 430 voted, 419 valid votes
- Tous unis pour ArsyNo label (small commune) 43.2% · 181
- Ensemble autrementNo label (small commune) 41.5% · 174
- ARSY AVEC VOUSNo label (small commune) 15.3% · 64
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Arsy from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 52.2% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.5% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.2% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.4% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.3% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.3% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.1% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.0% · France 2.0%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 39.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.6% · France Unbowed 12.5% · Reconquête 9.8% · Others 4.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Oise
- Bonneuil-les-Eaux633 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Omer-en-Chaussée631 voters · No label (small commune)
- Mortefontaine-en-Thelle637 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Rue-Saint-Pierre629 voters · No label (small commune)
- Jaulzy639 voters · No label (small commune)
- Thiverny627 voters · No label (small commune)
- Etouy641 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lachelle622 voters · No label (small commune)